Varzim B vs AR São Martinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 1
VAR
71%
18%
10%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
5 - 3
TRO
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
SMA
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
ADO
22%
25%
54%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 0
SMA
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
ARO
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
SMA
42%
23%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |