Varsenare vs Sparta Heestert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
53.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
7º
33
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varsenare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KEZ
2 - 3
VAR
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
SVA
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 7
OOS
3%
8%
88%
|
18 | 65 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RCL
0 - 1
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 1
WEV
26%
21%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Heestert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 3
KFM
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
SHE
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SHE
7 - 0
VCV
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MEU
1 - 2
SHE
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
RAC
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |