Värmbols vs Karlskoga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Värmbols
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 2
VAR
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 3
KON
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
VAR
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BKK
4 - 3
VAR
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
GUT
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Karlskoga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
KON
2 - 1
KBK
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KBK
2 - 1
ASI
46%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
KBK
4 - 2
VAR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
KBK
6 - 0
GUN
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TIB
1 - 3
KBK
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |