Varese U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ATA
1 - 2
VAR
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 2
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 5
VAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
UDI
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
CES
59%
23%
19%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CES
0 - 3
FIO
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EMP
3 - 1
CES
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
GEN
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |