CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 2
VAR
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
ANG
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
VAR
40%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIA
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AGO
1 - 0
VAR
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CDF
2 - 0
HAR
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
OYO
1 - 2
CDF
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDF
3 - 0
RAP
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 2
CDF
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
YAG
2 - 2
CDF
36%
24%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |