CD Varea vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
OYO
1 - 3
VAR
6%
13%
82%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
5 - 0
TED
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AGO
1 - 3
VAR
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
CLH
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NAX
3 - 1
VAR
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALF
4 - 0
ARN
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 2
ALF
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 0
CAL
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PRA
0 - 2
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 0
BER
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |