CD Varea vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.2%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.6%
5-0
10.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.7%
4-0
14.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.8%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.5%
1.1%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 2
VAR
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
5 - 1
BER
80%
12%
7%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 2
VAR
18%
20%
61%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
6 - 0
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
SDL
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
UDL
7%
16%
78%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARN
5 - 1
CAL
72%
19%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
ANG
5%
13%
82%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 1
CAL
45%
24%
30%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 0
RAP
63%
21%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |