CD Varea vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
AGO
5 - 2
VAR
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 1
TED
92%
6%
2%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
0 - 4
VAR
5%
12%
84%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 0
ARN
91%
7%
2%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
ANG
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
ANG
11%
20%
69%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
7 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
BAL
67%
19%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 0
CAL
49%
26%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALF
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |