CD Varea vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDF
2 - 6
VAR
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
SMC
86%
11%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAR
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 1
VAR
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
AGO
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
HAR
8%
17%
75%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AGO
1 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARN
25%
26%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
RIV
39%
26%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |