Varea U19 vs DUX Logroño U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-114%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
10º
55
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
0 - 2
VAR
27%
20%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
3 - 0
CLU
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OYO
3 - 2
VAR
44%
21%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
CDE
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 2
VAR
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
DUX Logroño U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 2
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 2
ARN
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
3 - 3
CDE
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CDE
4 - 1
CLU
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OYO
3 - 3
CDE
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |