Varde vs Svendborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SKI
0 - 1
VAR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
SKJ
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AAF
0 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
AAR
67%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OTB
0 - 3
VAR
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Svendborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 1
THI
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
KJE
1 - 1
SVE
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIF
1 - 1
SVE
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SVE
1 - 0
SKI
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SKJ
0 - 3
SVE
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |