Varde vs VSK Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 1
VAR
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 3
NAS
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JAM
1 - 2
VAR
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 4
MAR
38%
23%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIN
2 - 2
VAR
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VSK Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SKI
1 - 0
SVE
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SKI
2 - 3
SYD
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NAS
3 - 4
SKI
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SKI
2 - 0
JAM
29%
23%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 2
SKI
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |