Varde IF Elite vs Sønderborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 2
VAR
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
KOL
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KFU
1 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 4
RIS
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Sønderborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SON
2 - 3
GRE
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
TAA
5 - 3
SON
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TIF
2 - 3
SON
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SON
2 - 1
B19
56%
20%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OUR
5 - 2
SON
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |