Varde IF Elite vs Marienlyst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
7º
38
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OKS
3 - 0
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
HED
18%
21%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIN
4 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
TAR
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
OFA
2 - 1
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOL
59%
20%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
B19
2 - 4
MAR
32%
22%
47%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
OKS
3 - 2
MAR
43%
22%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
HED
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
B19
0 - 1
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |