Varde IF Elite vs Herning Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ODD
3 - 3
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
VAR
3 - 1
TAR
33%
22%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
KRA
2 - 3
VAR
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
OFA
4 - 0
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Herning Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HER
2 - 0
OFA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HED
1 - 2
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HER
2 - 4
OTB
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
OKS
1 - 4
HER
8%
17%
75%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
LØG
2 - 2
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +18 |