Vardar Negotino vs FK Pobeda AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
15º
7º
28
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
VAN
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
TET
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BES
4 - 1
VAN
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 1
PEL
15%
22%
64%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
VAN
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
POB
1 - 2
KAR
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KGE
0 - 0
POB
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
POB
2 - 0
DEP
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 1
POB
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POB
1 - 1
NOV
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |