Vard vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
KVI
0 - 1
VAR
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
VAR
0 - 3
VKG
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
VAR
7 - 1
MFC
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 1
VAR
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
VAR
2 - 0
SAR
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
FRA
1 - 8
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
FRA
1 - 1
TOL
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
KVI
0 - 0
FRA
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
FRA
2 - 2
MFC
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2005 |
ODD
1 - 1
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |