Vard vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
11º
8º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SSK
4 - 0
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
HOD
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
LYS
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
VAR
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 4
ORN
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
ORN
67%
18%
14%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
FKA
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
FFC
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |