Vard vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
IKS
5 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NES
0 - 2
VAR
44%
23%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
OIL
2 - 5
VAR
15%
19%
67%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
RAN
59%
20%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
EGE
4 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ALG
0 - 3
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
STO
3 - 1
BRA
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +4 |
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARD
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |