Varbergs BoIS vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
16º
16º
65
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
MJÄ
2 - 2
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TVA
4 - 0
VAR
12%
19%
70%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 2
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
UTS
2 - 0
VAR
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
VAR
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
ELF
0 - 2
HÄC
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 0
ELF
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ELF
1 - 1
DEG
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ELF
4 - 1
FCB
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 15 | 66 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ELF
2 - 1
BRE
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |