J3 League Normal Season Round 33

Vanraure Hachinohe vs Nara Club analysis

Vanraure Hachinohe Nara Club
59 ELO 56
-12.5% Tilt -3.5%
2462º General ELO ranking 3080º
44º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
47.7%
Vanraure Hachinohe
26.6%
Draw
25.6%
Nara Club

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
Vanraure Hachinohe
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.6%
Win probability
Nara Club
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vanraure Hachinohe
+31%
+11%
Nara Club

Points and table prediction

Vanraure Hachinohe
Their league position
Nara Club
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
20º
11º
40
11º
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RB Omiya Ardija
85
85
100%
Imabari
73
73
100%
Kataller Toyama
64
64
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
60
60
100%
Fukushima United
59
59
100%
Osaka
58
58
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
56
56
100%
Gifu
53
53
0%
Sagamihara
53
53
0%
Azul Claro Numazu
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Vanraure Hachinohe
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Gainare Tottori
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Zweigen Kanazawa
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Ryūkyū
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
15º
46
46
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Nara Club
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
18º
37
37
18º
100%
YSCC
19º
32
32
19º
100%
Grulla Morioka
20º
22
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vanraure Hachinohe
Nara Club
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vanraure Hachinohe
Nara Club
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vanraure Hachinohe
Vanraure Hachinohe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2024
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 - 3
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
41%
28%
31%
58 59 1 0
06 Oct. 2024
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
1 - 0
Azul Claro Numazu
AZU
41%
27%
32%
57 57 0 +1
28 Sep. 2024
FCI
Imabari
3 - 1
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
56%
24%
20%
58 63 5 -1
21 Sep. 2024
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
2 - 3
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
28%
28%
44%
58 66 8 0
14 Sep. 2024
GRU
Grulla Morioka
1 - 2
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
22%
26%
52%
58 46 12 0

Matches

Nara Club
Nara Club
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
NAR
Nara Club
0 - 1
Osaka
OSA
35%
28%
37%
56 59 3 0
05 Oct. 2024
NAR
Nara Club
0 - 0
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
22%
27%
51%
56 67 11 0
29 Sep. 2024
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 - 1
Nara Club
NAR
57%
24%
19%
55 61 6 +1
22 Sep. 2024
NAR
Nara Club
2 - 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
48%
26%
26%
55 52 3 0
14 Sep. 2024
PAR
Parceiro Nagano
1 - 1
Nara Club
NAR
48%
25%
27%
55 55 0 0