VMA vs Rosengård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
14º
13º
60
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
2 - 3
VMA
72%
16%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
VMA
0 - 0
KAR
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
VMA
0 - 3
SIM
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
KRI
2 - 0
VMA
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 0
VMA
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rosengård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 1
ROS
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 2
RAP
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
SIM
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
ROS
36%
23%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 1
KRI
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |