Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers analysis


42	ELO	71
5.6%	Tilt	-6%
6215º	General ELO ranking	1399º
18º	Country ELO ranking	8º
ELO win probability

28%

Vancouver FC

26.5%

Draw

45.5%

HFX Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

28%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%

26.5%

Draw

0-0

8.3%

1-1

12.6%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.5%

45.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+52%

-4%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

11

4º

8º

32

2º

5º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	46	57	1º	64%
2º	43	54	2º	63%
3º	33	44	3º	47.5%
4º	32	42	4º	33.5%
5º	29	40	5º	51%
6º	20	30	6º	85%
7º	16	24	7º	80%
8º	11	18	8º	93%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Play-offs for the title	0%	0.5%
Play-offs	0%	37.5%
Next round	0%	61.5%
Eliminated	100%	0.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vancouver FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
07 May. 2025	PAC 1 - 1 VAN 76% 15% 9%	42	71	29	0
04 May. 2025	VAL 1 - 3 VAN 66% 21% 14%	40	66	26	+2
27 Apr. 2025	VAN 1 - 1 PAC 26% 26% 48%	39	71	32	+1
19 Apr. 2025	CAV 1 - 1 VAN 69% 20% 11%	38	74	36	+1
14 Apr. 2025	VAN 1 - 4 ATO 23% 25% 52%	38	74	36	0

Matches

HFX Wanderers

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 May. 2025	HFX 0 - 3 CAV 43% 27% 31%	72	74	2	0
08 May. 2025	FOR 3 - 1 HFX 47% 25% 29%	72	74	2	0
03 May. 2025	HFX 0 - 0 FOR 45% 26% 29%	72	74	2	0
26 Apr. 2025	VAL 0 - 1 HFX 34% 28% 39%	72	66	6	0
19 Apr. 2025	HFX 3 - 1 PAC 44% 27% 29%	71	72	1	+1