Valour vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 8
CAV
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
HFX
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PAC
2 - 1
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 1
EDM
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 3
FOR
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
YOR
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
PAC
1 - 1
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
OLI
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |