Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
RIG
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
BFC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |