Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
8º
4º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SUP
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
49%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 4
AUD
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 0
BFC
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
SUP
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |