1. Liga Round 3

Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis

Valmiera FC BFC Daugavpils
58 ELO 50
22.2% Tilt 27.4%
825º General ELO ranking 1811º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
71.1%
Valmiera FC
17.4%
Draw
11.5%
BFC Daugavpils

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
Valmiera FC
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.6%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valmiera FC
-10%
-21%
BFC Daugavpils

ELO progression

Valmiera FC
BFC Daugavpils
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valmiera FC
Valmiera FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2017
SMI
Smiltene
1 - 6
Valmiera FC
VAL
25%
22%
53%
56 45 11 0
05 Nov. 2016
VAL
Valmiera FC
3 - 2
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
62%
19%
19%
54 47 7 +2
29 Oct. 2016
SMI
Smiltene
1 - 0
Valmiera FC
VAL
19%
19%
62%
55 43 12 -1
22 Oct. 2016
VAL
Valmiera FC
5 - 0
FK Ogre
RCR
87%
9%
4%
55 31 24 0
15 Oct. 2016
CAD
Olaine
1 - 2
Valmiera FC
VAL
35%
24%
41%
54 52 2 +1

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2017
STA
Staiceles Bebri
0 - 2
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
22%
24%
54%
49 33 16 0
09 Apr. 2017
CAR
Riga FC
3 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
80%
14%
7%
49 67 18 0
13 Feb. 2017
RIG
FK RFS
4 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
83%
12%
6%
50 66 16 -1
07 Feb. 2017
CAR
Riga FC
3 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
78%
15%
7%
50 69 19 0
05 Nov. 2016
LIE
FK Liepāja
0 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
81%
14%
5%
49 70 21 +1