De Valk vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DEV
2 - 1
DEU
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BLA
1 - 2
DEV
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DEV
1 - 1
EHC
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DES
3 - 1
DEV
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DEV
0 - 2
OJC
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DON
0 - 1
PAP
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DEU
3 - 0
DON
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DON
2 - 1
VEN
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 4
DON
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DON
2 - 2
UDI
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |