Vålerenga II vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
62.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
10º
62
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
VAL
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
FKA
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 1
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
VAR
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
ORN
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
KJE
0 - 1
LYN
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LYN
2 - 1
EGE
45%
24%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
NOT
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 2
LYN
23%
21%
56%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |