Valenzana Calcio vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
60.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 3
TRE
10%
24%
66%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
RIM
9%
21%
70%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAV
2 - 1
VAL
72%
18%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
VIN
45%
29%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VIN
0 - 0
SAN
19%
26%
55%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
USP
76%
17%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RIM
0 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
USA
24%
27%
49%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -2 |