Valenciennes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
STL
3 - 1
VAL
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 1
VAL
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 15 | 55 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
ASN
0 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 0
ASS
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 2
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PSG
1 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |