Valenciennes vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
NÎM
2 - 2
VAL
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
VAL
0 - 2
ANG
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
LYO
2 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 0
LIL
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SOC
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 1
STL
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 2
ASN
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 1
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 1
ASN
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
ASN
7 - 3
GIR
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |