National Round 29

Valenciennes vs Besancon RC analysis

Valenciennes Besancon RC
69 ELO 63
-21.4% Tilt 3.5%
1463º General ELO ranking 4679º
51º Country ELO ranking 109º
ELO win probability
50.1%
Valenciennes
27.5%
Draw
22.4%
Besancon RC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
Valenciennes
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.4%
Win probability
Besancon RC
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valenciennes
+11%
-9%
Besancon RC

ELO progression

Valenciennes
Besancon RC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valenciennes
Valenciennes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2005
ROM
Romorantin
2 - 0
Valenciennes
VAL
33%
26%
41%
69 63 6 0
19 Mar. 2005
VAL
Valenciennes
4 - 0
Tours
TOU
46%
28%
26%
68 67 1 +1
12 Mar. 2005
VAL
Valence
1 - 0
Valenciennes
VAL
43%
26%
31%
69 66 3 -1
26 Feb. 2005
VAL
Valenciennes
2 - 0
Roye-Noyon
ROY
74%
19%
8%
69 47 22 0
19 Feb. 2005
CHE
Cherbourg
1 - 2
Valenciennes
VAL
32%
26%
42%
68 61 7 +1

Matches

Besancon RC
Besancon RC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2005
BRC
Besancon RC
1 - 2
Tours
TOU
43%
27%
30%
64 66 2 0
19 Mar. 2005
ROY
Roye-Noyon
1 - 1
Besancon RC
BRC
19%
26%
55%
64 48 16 0
26 Feb. 2005
SÈT
Sète
1 - 1
Besancon RC
BRC
50%
27%
23%
64 68 4 0
19 Feb. 2005
BRC
Besancon RC
3 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
58%
23%
19%
64 57 7 0
05 Feb. 2005
RAC
RC France
1 - 0
Besancon RC
BRC
49%
27%
25%
64 65 1 0