Valenciennes vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
LIL
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
SOC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 0
TFC
49%
27%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ETG
3 - 1
AUX
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 2
CAE
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AUX
0 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 3
LIL
29%
27%
45%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |