Valencia vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
VCF
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VCF
4 - 1
OSA
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
VCF
2 - 3
RSO
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 0
VCF
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
DEP
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FCB
4 - 1
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEG
74%
18%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |