Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BET
0 - 0
VCF
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VCF
0 - 4
EIB
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
UDL
3 - 1
VCF
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
VCF
37%
26%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 1
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OSA
1 - 3
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
RSO
77%
14%
9%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 2
RMA
22%
22%
56%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |