Valencia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
VCF
2 - 0
LEV
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VCF
2 - 3
RMA
14%
18%
68%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
VCF
1 - 0
GIM
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
VCF
1 - 1
KUB
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 2
LEV
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
UES
91%
8%
1%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
69%
19%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCP
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |