Valence vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
RED
1 - 1
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
VAL
1 - 0
LMU
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
NÎM
1 - 2
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
FCM
2 - 0
VAL
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
NÎM
1 - 0
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
LOR
5 - 2
RED
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
LMU
2 - 2
LOR
36%
28%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
LOR
2 - 0
LIL
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ASB
1 - 1
LOR
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |