Valence vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CLE
1 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
CAN
1 - 2
VAL
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAL
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 0
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
CAE
4 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASB
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
CHA
3 - 2
ESW
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |