Valadares Gaia vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
9º
6º
30
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
BMA
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAL
18%
23%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
LUS
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAM
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
LEC
11%
17%
73%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
RES
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
BMA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |