V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 3
VVA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VVA
2 - 2
FAG
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
GIF
1 - 0
VVA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VVA
0 - 1
OIT
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
YOK
2 - 2
VVA
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 0
ZWE
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OIT
1 - 1
TOK
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 0
OMI
22%
27%
52%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
YOK
1 - 1
TOK
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TOK
1 - 0
KYO
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |