V-Varen Nagasaki vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
JEF
5 - 0
VVA
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VVA
0 - 0
MIT
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
VVA
3 - 0
FAG
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
REN
0 - 3
VVA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EHI
1 - 0
VVA
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
OIT
4 - 1
NAG
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GIF
1 - 2
OIT
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
OIT
0 - 0
MAT
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
OIT
1 - 3
KYO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SHO
0 - 1
OIT
14%
24%
63%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |