V-Varen Nagasaki vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
OMI
3 - 0
VVA
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 0
KYO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
VVA
2 - 1
VEG
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
TOK
1 - 1
VVA
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 0
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
RYK
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
YOK
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
KYO
2 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
OMI
1 - 1
MAC
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
JEF
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |