Utrera vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
MAG
3 - 0
UTR
72%
15%
13%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
UTR
2 - 1
XER
62%
18%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
MAL
0 - 2
UTR
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
UTR
1 - 1
CAA
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
UTR
1 - 1
REC
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
RJA
2 - 0
REC
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
59%
19%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
RJA
3 - 1
ILI
67%
17%
16%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
UDE
1 - 4
RJA
53%
21%
26%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
RJA
3 - 0
LCF
78%
13%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |