Utebo vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
UFC
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
UFC
1 - 0
MAL
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CFV
1 - 4
UFC
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ZAR
4 - 0
UFC
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
UFC
0 - 1
TER
19%
25%
56%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 1
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CFJ
2 - 0
FRA
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 0
CUA
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
6 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 1
ATC
50%
25%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |