UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SBO
4 - 0
UTC
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HUA
2 - 1
UTC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
UTC
0 - 0
BIN
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
AYA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 1
SPC
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
CAN
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
AGP
1 - 1
SPC
29%
21%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPC
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |