UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
VAL
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
UTC
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
LOS
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 2
UTC
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 3
MEL
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |