USV Hercules vs IJsselmeervogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
5º
18º
6º
82
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
81% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
USV
1 - 6
SPA
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EEM
3 - 2
USV
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
USV
3 - 1
TIE
66%
19%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 2
USV
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USV
5 - 2
DEM
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
IJS
2 - 3
SCH
18%
19%
63%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
IJS
5 - 1
URK
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IJS
0 - 0
EEM
60%
21%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TIE
1 - 0
IJS
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
IJS
4 - 3
AJA
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |