USV Hercules vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
USV
3 - 0
HSC
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 1
USV
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USV
4 - 0
VOL
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VVS
2 - 1
USV
27%
24%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
USV
3 - 2
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
ACV
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
EXC
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KAT
2 - 1
EXC
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
AFC
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KON
1 - 2
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |