Viagem Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Most - Souš analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
4º
1º
37
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 31 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viagem Ústí nad Labem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
UST
3 - 4
VKP
14%
19%
67%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
UST
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SOK
0 - 0
UST
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
UST
4 - 0
MBI
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UST
1 - 3
UST
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Baník Most - Souš
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BMS
2 - 0
SOK
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MBI
1 - 0
BMS
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BMS
5 - 0
UST
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TPC
1 - 0
BMS
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BMS
1 - 1
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |